|
NEWS AND COMMENTS
•
Development of flu pandemic
Limited,
relatively low incidence intensity continued during September and October.
However in first weeks of November, at the time of writing this article,
numbers of cases started to rise significantly announcing full influenza
outbreak wave, typical for a cold season. In such a situation, by the decision
of the central Pandemic headquarters, additional amounts of antivirals were
distributed all over the country, to the primary health care doctors level.
This increase was also the reason to switch from individual reporting to usual
weekly cumulative reporting of all influenza cases.
In next weeks
further increase is expected, as well as increased numbers of persons needed
hospital and intensive care treatment. This points to the importance of optimal
organization of entire health care service, to treat the majority of patients
in the primary care sawing thus hospital capacities for patients that need
hospital treatment, either for flu or becouse of any other disease.
This approach
implies contact with a family doctor or pediatrician for all diseased with signs
of flu, allowing doctors to make proper assessment and diagnosis and decide if
patient can stay at home or needs hospitalization. Home treatment however should
assure all necessary therapies including antivirals. Regarding antivirals it is
known that they act best if applied early, in first days of illness. But it
turned out, that they are also approved later, especially in characteristic
situations of sudden worsening after initial improvement. The WHO stresses the
importance of energic combined treatment including antivirals in such cases. So
patients themselves as well as health care personnel should be aware and notice
the important signs of worsening. Here is an excerpt from the WHO guidelines on
this problem.
"...Clinicians,
patients and those providing home based care need to be alert to danger signs
that can signal progression to mere severe diseases. As progression can be very
rapid, medical attention should be sought when any of the following danger signs
appear in a person with confirmed or suspected H1N1 infection.
* shortness of
breath, either during physical activity or while resting
* difficulty in
breathing
* turning blue
* bloody or
colloured sputum
* chest pain
* altered mental
status
* high fever that
persists beyond 3 days
* low blood
pressure.
In children danger
signs include fast or difficult breathing, lack of alertness, difficulty in
weaking up, and little or no desire to play... "
From the WHO:
Recommended use of antivirals, Pandemic (H1N1)2009 briefing note 8, 21.8.2009
•
Weekly
influenza reporting
Currently weekly
cumulative reporting of all influenza cases from all doctors diagnosing flu all
over the country is in place (see previous article). However, to gain a fast
insight into pandemic development, additional preliminary reporting on weekly
basis from a county level is temporarily retained, replacing previous daily
county zero reports introduced since the pandemic phase 5 in April. It should be
remembered that age groups were slightly changed this summer, to fit the WHO-ECDC
age groups used in the EuroFlu network. In the course of this winter the
ordinary seasonal flu wave is expected too. This will not change weekly
reporting i.e. reporting will bi only one, containing all clinical influenza
cases (confirmed cases included) regardless the type or subtype of influenza
virus as the majority of clinical cases will remained etiologically unresolved.
The relative proportions of circulating types or subtypes of viral strains will
be assessed (extrapolated) from the observed structure of viral strains among
laboratory confirmed cases, as it is done every influenza season.
•
Encephalitis etiology, Croatia 2004-2008
Usually, some 50
cases of encephalitis/meningoencephalitis are reported per year in Croatia, TBE
recorded separately. _The etiology however remains mainly unresolved. In the
last five years (2004-2008) the total of 246 cases were registered. A causative
agent was diagnosed in 26 of them (10%). These cases were scattered through the
year (Table1)
Table 1
|
Month of the
year |
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
11. |
12. |
|
Number |
0 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
Elderly persons
were more presented (Table 2), males equal to females (13)
Table 2
Encephalitis, age distribution, Croatia 2004-2008
|
Age group |
Number |
|
0-9 |
2 |
|
10-19 |
3 |
|
20-29 |
0 |
|
30-39 |
0 |
|
40-49 |
3 |
|
50-59 |
5 |
|
60-69 |
9 |
|
70-79 |
4 |
|
Total |
26 |
Causative agents
diagnosed are shown in the Table 3.
Table 3
Encephalitis etiology Croatia 2004 - 2008
|
Causative agent |
Number |
|
Herpes simplex
virus |
9 |
|
Listeria
monocytogenes |
7 |
|
Varicella
zoster virus |
4 |
|
Borrelia
burgdorferi |
2 |
|
Pneumococcus |
2 |
|
Taenia solium |
1 |
|
Cryptococcus |
1 |
Herpes virus is
ranking first, followed by Listeria.
Rare cases caused by parasites (Taenia) can be expected.

|